Coping with the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune

Olympic Green Archery Field

A bit like the sailors at currently windless Qingdao, Britain’s medal tally has hit the doldrums over the last couple of days.

There was concern this first week was going to be slow, and to be honest, so it has proved.

Apart from the swimmers, who’ve had a great Olympics, and the cycling team who will undoubtedly be Britain’s biggest providers, there’s been disappointment elsewhere.

Nothing out of judo, diving, badminton, tennis, shooting - and now archery, where I’ve been spending my time over the last few days.

Archery had a target of two medals, and managed only a 4th place in the women’s team event.

Let’s add some context to that.

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Last year was a particularly good one for the British archers, winning three medals at the World Championships, but it’s here in Beijing where it really counts, where the fruits of their labours, and the £2.8m investment the sport’s had in the past four years should be reaped.

What’s gone wrong?

Alan Wills offered me an insight straight after bowing out in the last 16 this morning.

He told me the head coach, Peter Suk, wasn’t letting him “be himself” out on the target field.

He wanted to feel more aggression, but felt that his personality was being subdued, because Suk wanted a calmer approach.

Team-mate Simon Terry mentioned “issues around the team” the other day, and clearly that’s what he was alluding to.

I’m left to question why wasn’t this resolved before the games?

If Wills wasn’t getting what he personally needed, then why?

After all he’s the bloke out there drawing the bow.

Whether this is a management or a communication issue, I don’t know, but the net result is a flat team, flat performances and a zero in the medals column.

Team leader, Hilda Gibson, said that there’d be a chance to get all this out into the open at a big de-brief post games.

Fine, but forgive me, too late for Terry, who said he’d not got his head around the one-on-one contests yet, or Naomi Folkard who let nervousness get in the way of her talent.

If ever a sport needed a good psychologist to give them strategies for dealing with those things, it’s archery.

Like target shooting, it’s a sport you play as much against yourself as the person standing next to you.

The Grand National Archery Society has some thinking to do, as do the other sports who’ve missed their medal targets here.

UK Sport has a much publicised “no compromise” policy when it comes to funding sport.

Archery will be among those nervously awaiting the outcome of the divvy-up of cash for London 2012.

The James gang beat Yao, for now

Wukesong Arena, Beijing

For 15 minutes, it was a contest.

China, starting with their totemic leader Yao Ming, were raining them in from deep while the “Redeem Team” played “me ball”, each member of the cast trying to outdo the other like an Olympic version of A Bridge Too Far.

But it couldn’t last - LeBron James and Dwyane Wade saw to that - and with an estimated audience of one billion at home, and one head of state in the house, American authority was emphatically underlined. Or was it?

OK, this latest reincarnation of the original (and still the best) Dream Team ended this basketball battle with a 101-70 victory, but who’s winning the medal-table war?

In fact, for that thrilling half an hour of real time, this game followed a similar course to the game within the Games. The one the Chinese really believe they can win.

The superstars of America’s brilliant but brittle team were taking turns to score breathtaking dunks, while the less gifted but more patient Chinese were working space for their three-point shooters to pull the trigger.

At 29-29 with five minutes to play in the first half, the US was walking the highlights competition but China was still in the game.

A glance at the medal tally will reveal a similar story - for all your Michael Phelps and Kobe Bryant moments, a gold medal in the basketball is worth the same as a gold medal in the shooting, and China has won two of those already.

Not that the US basketball boss Mike “Coach K” Krzyzewski will be counting any chickens yet. This game had considerable symbolic value (and no doubt financial value too) but little merit as a genuine test of his team’s mettle.

Those tests will come soon enough and teams with more serious credentials for extending America’s dire run in men’s hoops (no gold in any global competition since 2000) will have learned plenty from the early exchanges on Sunday.

If the US shoots that poorly against the likes of Argentina, Lithuania or Spain, they could be heading for further international embarrassment.

But I don’t see that happening, largely because this team is able to take a greater number of high-percentage shots (and there is no more high-percentage shot than a slam dunk, even the reverse dunks Wade enjoys so much) than any other side in the competition.

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The speed of their counter-attacks, the crispness of their passing and power of their trips to the basket cannot be matched by anybody. They’ve got an extra gear on defence too.

The US outscored China 24-4 on the fast break and claimed 60% of their points from inside the paint. Wade (who was perfect from the free-throw line too) was seven for seven from the floor and Chris Bosh four for four. But when all your shots are dunks, they should go in.

The hosts, on the other hand, made six of their first 10 three-point attempts and only four of their next 17.

Where the Americans could struggle, however, is against a team as organised as China, that stays hotter longer and does not rely so much on one player in defence.

Yao, who nailed the first three-pointer of the game, could not have given more for his team in terms of effort but what they needed was beyond even his powers.

Only back from a long injury lay-off last month, the 7ft 6in centre had to play all 40 minutes, bottle up the lanes America’s high-wire acts wanted to attack, boss the boards and provide a serious inside threat on offence.

He tried but fatigue, foul trouble and Wade landing on his injured foot, meant he had to do too much leading from the sidelines. When China’s flag-bearer was on the court it was almost close, when he wasn’t it got far too easy for the US to showboat.

After the game, Krzyzewski denied suggestions his team had been showing off - “I don’t know what your definition of showing off is, I would call that going to the basket hard” - and he also shot down (with a smile) talk of needing to “kill off super-egos” in his team.

But there was no doubt some of his players had been over-egging it, Bryant being the worst culprit. Too many no-look passes and rebounds tipped, not caught.

But more worryingly for his team, he was totally out of sorts from range. The LA Lakers superstar eventually stopped shooting and stuck to Wade-Bosh methods. In fact, it wasn’t until the first string had sat down with the game safely in the bag that the second string started to hit some jump shots.

A far better performance than crowd favourite Kobe’s was put in by LeBron. A Cavalier by trade and method, the 6′8″ forward is a beguiling mix of finesse and force.

There were at least two surges to the hole that took the breath away, his passing skills are almost Magic-esque and defensively he is immense. He actually plucked one Chinese lay-up clean out of the air.

And that is how the basketball numbers stack up for these two teams at the moment. The Americans can afford to have one of their sporting gods take a day off; China cannot, even if his foot is hurting.

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But for how much longer will that be the case? The reaction the US team received at the opening ceremony and as they took to the court on Sunday reveals just how popular basketball is in this country of 1.3 billion potential sports fans.

The National Basketball Association has been canny in selling the league’s brand here and not the competing religions of its teams. The Rockets, Yao’s team, are probably the most popular but not to the detriment of any other NBA outfit.

The American league has also been cuter than the Premier League, for example, in setting up a Chinese operation with local money and staff. There is now talk of NBA China putting a basketball court in every village.

With ambition like that the numbers start to change. How long can it be before China fields more than one Yao or perhaps a LeBron with a Beijing accent?

In the meantime, the US and George W should enjoy these wins in the big Olympic set-pieces, it’s the bleeding from the smaller skirmishes they need to worry about..

What makes Ben Ainslie so good?

Read any guide to British medal hopes for the Olympics and you are sure to come across the name of Ben Ainslie.

The 31-year-old sailor is going for a third straight gold, which would make him Britain’s most successful Olympic sailor and put him ahead of the likes of Sebastian Coe, Daley Thompson and Dame Kelly Holmes in the gold medal tally and one behind the national treasure that is Matthew Pinsent.

Ainslie won the single-handed Laser class in Sydney in 2000 and the heavier one-man Finn class in Athens and goes to China as the five-time Finn world champion.

But just what is it that makes Ainslie so good?

Ben Ainslie on the water in Qingdao

To find out, I first quizzed Team GB sailing manager Stephen Park at a pre-Olympics bash in London.

“He’s unbeaten recently so he has a huge mental advantage right from the start,” said Park.

“Ben is very targeted in which regattas he races in now, but when he does line up the rest of the field is effectively racing for second place.

“The key to his success is probably his incredible ability to turn around a race that’s not going very well.

“Normally in sailing you count your best 10 scores from 11 races. It’s important to have some good races but what Ben does very well is if he doesn’t have a good start, say, he’s able to claw back a good result and make that a counter.”

Ainslie demonstrated this trait to spectacular effect in Athens four years ago.

After coming 10th in race one, Ainslie was then disqualified from race two after Frenchman Guillaume Florent protested that the Englishman had impeded him.

That put Ainslie 19th overall but it also proved the catalyst for one of the great sporting comebacks.

He retaliated with wins in both races the next day and added two more firsts, two seconds, a third and a fourth to virtually wrap up the regatta before the final day.

“Technically he’s very good - you have to be in the Olympics - but there’s no doubt being mentally tough is crucial in our sport,” added Park.

“It can go on for a long period of time, not just each race, which can be up to an hour-and-a-half long, but it can start on day one of the Olympics and might still be going on day 13, depending on the weather.

“You’ve got to be like a coiled spring and ready to switch on, focus and deliver at any given moment.”

Another example of Ainslie’s single-minded will to win, and perhaps the iconic moment for which he will be most remembered, is when he won an epic duel against Brazilian nemesis Robert Scheidt to win gold in Sydney.

Scheidt was the man who pipped him to the title four years earlier in Atlanta and Ainslie was out for revenge.

Going into the final race, Scheidt only needed to finish in the top 20 to secure gold but Ainslie took the fight to the Brazilian and enmeshed him in a private head-to-head at the back of the fleet.

He forced Scheidt into an error which led to his disqualification.

The aggressive, coldly calculating Ainslie won gold and launched himself into the big time. (With it, he incurred death threats while people burned effigies of him in Scheidt’s home town of Sao Paulo.)

“It is a bit of stubbornness, a refusal to give in and with all his experience now he’s got one of the coolest heads in the business,” said Paul Goodison, Britain’s Laser representative in Beijing and Ainslie’s training partner in Sydney.

“I experienced close up just how meticulous he was. He was so focused on making sure all the small pieces of the jigsaw were in place so that the whole big picture came together. That’s the difference between winning and losing.

“But he is also just amazingly talented. Some people can work at it all their life and never get there, while some people don’t have to work very hard.

“Ben has got the talent and the workmanship, so you put the two things together and you can’t really go wrong.”

When I asked Ainslie himself what makes him so good, he went all modest and polite on me and dished out plaudits to the team around him.

He does admit that you have to be mentally tough on the race course and you can’t let yourself be pushed around.

But he also revealed that these days it’s the chess-like strategy of the discipline that fires him up.

“The Laser is a much more dynamic boat, tactically things happen very quickly and so it’s much more instinctive, which is fine and that’s good to learn that at a young age,” he said.

“But because the Finn is bigger and heavier you have to think ahead a little bit more. You can’t do two tacks in two seconds like you can in a Laser, so you have to be a bit more strategic. That seems to suit my style and I like it.”

For a final perspective on Ainslie, I asked accomplished round-the-world sailor Alex Thomson, while sailing on his boat Hugo Boss in the Artemis Challenge around the Isle of Wight.

“Right now, he is the best sailor in the world, no doubt about that,” said Thomson. “Potentially, he could be the greatest sailor the world has ever seen and I think he’s probably going to get there.

“But I do feel sorry for him for the amount of pressure he gets. He’s a foregone conclusion to win gold in most people’s eyes.”

Ainslie claims, publicly anyway, that the weight of expectation doesn’t affect him. It’s only his own desire to succeed that creates any pressure, he says.

“In sailing it’s impossible to be complacent because it’s such a diverse sport,” he said.

“And certainly with the conditions in China, your past history and past results don’t mean anything.”

They don’t, but try telling that to Ainslie’s rivals on the start line.

Beijing to witness next Ashes clash

Graham Gooch once described playing against Australia as being like a “fart competing with thunder”.

An entire generation of English cricketers will know exactly what the Essex legend meant and it’s a sentiment many British rugby league players could sympathise with too.

You see, Australia is quite good at cricket and rugby, particularly when they play the “mother country“. If you have ever met an Australian you will know this already - they tend to point it out - but what you might not realise is just how keen the rivalry has become across Olympic sports.

So much so that it is time to open a new front in the battle for sporting supremacy; step aside Warney, move over Gladiators, let the new Ashes commence.

Australia celebrate winning cricket's Ashes - an all too familiar sight for English fans

But before we fire the starter’s pistol, let’s see the scores on the doors.

In the head-to-head medal tally contest Britain leads the series 15-10 but has lost 10 of the last 15.

Much like the cricket, the rivalry has seen periods of domination by one side or the other.

Pre-WWII, it’s all Britain and we win again on home turf in 1948. The Aussies finally get on the board in 1952 and then win the next five in a row, only to have a stinker at Montreal in 1976 and let us in for four wins on the bounce.

Australia step up a gear in 1992, take advantage of our Montreal moment in 1996, ram home their advantage in Sydney and maintain the good vibes in 2004.

Which almost brings us up to date: almost but not quite, because the intervening years have seen two important but related developments.

First, London won the right to host the 2012 Games, instantly raising the profile and ambitions of Olympic sport in the country. And second, Team GB started to do much better in the various world championships of the respective Olympic sports.

So much better, in fact, the Aussies have noticed.

And a recent forecast by Italian statistician Luciano Barra has the team from dear old Blighty taking Australia’s fourth place in the table in Beijing, pushing them down to sixth.

With a Michael Phelps-driven US swimming juggernaut expected to reduce Australia’s traditional haul in pool, and Team GB tipped to take a big slice of the pie at the velodrome, there is little doubt the gap between the two rivals will shrink in China.

So how has this come about? What’s the secret of Britain’s resurgence?

Well, the Australians think they know. They’re certain it’s down to two simple reasons: money and Australians.

It all goes back to our Waterloo in 1996. Just as the Aussies came home from Montreal and said “never again, let’s try the East German way (but without the drugs)”, our failure in Atlanta led to a massive reappraisal of how we funded and managed top-level sport.

After considerable consultation between government, the national federations and anybody else with an opinion, it was decided we should scrap the existing mishmash at the top and…erm…copy exactly what the Australians did after 1976.

So better talent identification, a more professional approach to training, lots more sports science and plenty of foreign expertise. And then throw more National Lottery money at it.

Red, white and blue - the New Ashes

Come 2005 (and the start of the big push for London glory), that lottery lolly was topped up with treasury money - and it was being allocated, managed and spent by a sizeable population of ex-pat Aussies.

Well, you know what they say about imitation.

Not that they’re feeling too flattered about it on the other side of the world. Recent months have seen a number of leading figures in Australian sport sound distinctly crook about the growing threat.

Last summer, Swimming Australia had to move fast to stop British Swimming from poaching its head coach, Alan Thompson, to replace another Aussie Bill Sweetenham. No matter, thought the Brits, we’ll have Michael Scott instead.

A few months later, the Australian Olympic Committee announced new financial incentives to encourage its athletes to stay ahead of Team GB.

“Our arch-rival Great Britain has made dramatic advances at our expense,” warned AOC president John Coates, pointing the finger accusingly at our gambling-derived wealth.

Coates was back at it a few weeks ago. “I think our sports are in need of a significant boost of funds,” he said, whilst rattling the biscuit tin aggressively at the Australian government.

Professor Peter Fricker, the director of the Australian Institute of Sport (the “gold medal factory” we so reverentially ripped off), was another to sound the alarm.

“It’s fair to say the Brits have watched what we have been doing over many years and taken all the best elements of that and put them in their own system,” said Fricker.

And then last week AOC director of sport Fiona de Jong spoke the unspeakable.

“It is going to be tough (to maintain recent standards),” she shuddered.

“I believe the money the Brits are throwing into their athletes makes them a real threat to us on the medal tally.”

But just when you thought a chink was appearing in the armour-plated self-confidence of the Australian Ashes warrior, track cycling star Brett Lancaster came out with this little beauty: “I know a lot of people are talking about the Poms, and they’ve certainly put some runs on the board.

“But remember: nothing’s better for an Aussie than beating the Poms.”

And then, to reassure you all was right with the world once more, Australian cycling coach Shayne Bannan (even their names fit the bill) lobbed a Fergie-esque mind game grenade for good measure.

“I think you’ll see us push the British, who’ve really raised the bar in the sport,” he said.

“But when you win nine (gold medals) at the world championships (as Team GB did in March), there’s a bit of pressure there, isn’t there? So we’ll see how they go.”

Unsurprisingly, British athletes and officials have been a bit more circumspect on the subject (although noted Ashes warrior and current British Olympic Association performance guru Sir Clive Woodward has made his feelings on the rivalry fairly clear, he even counts the size of the two teams).

But they have not been above a bit of Douglas Jardine-style skulduggery, according to the Aussies, that is.

British modern pentathlete Nick Woodbridge

The first real salvo in the Beijing battle was fired when the Modern Pentathlon Association of Great Britain asked the Court of Arbitration for Sport to kick out an Aussie qualifier and admit Britain’s Nick Woodbridge instead.

Alex Parygin, a former gold medallist for his native Kazakhstan in 1996, thought he had qualified for the 2008 Games when he won the Oceania Championships last year.

We disagreed, pointing out that he had failed to attain the required number of points for Olympic eligibility at the event in Tokyo (which was hardly surprising as the show jumping had to be cancelled due to an outbreak of equine influenza) and at three subsequent events in Europe.

The Lausanne-based court agreed and gave Woodbridge, the next highest ranked athlete and 2004 junior world champion, Parygin’s place. Cue barely stifled celebrations from the British camp and considerable carping from the Aussies.

Who knows, the modern pentathlon may well take on a sixth discipline between the Brits and the Aussies in Beijing, bare-knuckle boxing.

But will Woodbridge win the medal that sees us reclaim the Olympic Ashes? Perhaps, but I don’t think so. He’s more of a 2012 prospect and so is the rest of the team.

It will be close between us next month but I suspect we’ll lose a few rowing and sailing medals to the Chinese and the Aussies will do enough in the pool to keep their hands on the urn. London, however, is another matter. Roll on 2012.